2020 LEC Spring Predictions

Updated: Thursday, 23 April 2020

The LEC is the top level of professional League of Legends in Europe. Predictions are based of a slightly modified version of the Elo rating system. An average team will have an Elo rating of 1500. Elo ratings at the start of the 2020 spring split are set to 1500.

The methodology used is largely derived from FiveThirtyEight's NFL predictions, slightly adapted for professional League of Legends. Match data is provided by Oracle's Elixir.

Standings

Elo Rating	1-Game Change	Team	Total Game Record	Kills	Deaths
1720	+16	G2 Esports 🏆	26-8	650	474
1622	-16	Fnatic	19-9	422	348
1568	-17	Origen	18-12	410	306
1537	-15	MAD Lions	15-15	430	450
1488	-16	Rogue	13-13	265	289
1459	-19	Misfits Gaming	11-11	248	254
1454	+24	FC Schalke 04 Esports	6-12	221	226
1432	-26	Excel Esports	7-11	191	271
1382	+26	SK Gaming	4-14	141	247
1338	+35	Team Vitality	2-16	161	281

Matches

Sunday, April 19, 2020

2:14:55 AM

	Fnatic	52%	0
	G2 Esports	48%	1

3:14:00 AM

	Fnatic	46%	0
	G2 Esports	54%	1

3:56:09 AM

	Fnatic	41%	0
	G2 Esports	59%	1

Saturday, April 18, 2020

2:19:16 AM

	G2 Esports	64%	1
	MAD Lions	36%	0

3:34:45 AM

	G2 Esports	68%	1
	MAD Lions	32%	0

4:16:05 AM

	MAD Lions	29%	1
	G2 Esports	71%	0

4:56:49 AM

	G2 Esports	64%	1
	MAD Lions	36%	0

Sunday, April 12, 2020

2:20:38 AM

	Origen	46%	0
	G2 Esports	54%	1

3:23:36 AM

	Origen	41%	0
	G2 Esports	59%	1

4:31:43 AM

	Origen	36%	1
	G2 Esports	64%	0

5:04:57 AM

	Origen	43%	0
	G2 Esports	57%	1

Saturday, April 11, 2020

2:22:56 AM

	Fnatic	54%	1
	MAD Lions	46%	0

3:23:49 AM

	MAD Lions	41%	0
	Fnatic	59%	1

4:03:37 AM

	MAD Lions	37%	0
	Fnatic	63%	1

Friday, April 10, 2020

3:05:01 AM

	Origen	56%	0
	Rogue	44%	1

4:33:31 AM

	Rogue	50%	0
	Origen	50%	1

5:17:59 AM

	Rogue	45%	0
	Origen	55%	1

5:55:31 AM

	Rogue	40%	0
	Origen	60%	1

Sunday, April 5, 2020

2:16:41 AM

	Misfits Gaming	54%	1
	Rogue	46%	0

3:01:31 AM

	Rogue	40%	1
	Misfits Gaming	60%	0

4:24:10 AM

	Misfits Gaming	53%	0
	Rogue	47%	1

5:35:57 AM

	Misfits Gaming	47%	0
	Rogue	53%	1

Saturday, April 4, 2020

1:17:07 AM

	Fnatic	51%	1
	Origen	49%	0

2:02:22 AM

	Fnatic	57%	1
	Origen	43%	0

2:56:31 AM

	Fnatic	61%	0
	Origen	39%	1

3:54:20 AM

	Fnatic	54%	1
	Origen	46%	0

Friday, April 3, 2020

2:24:50 AM

	G2 Esports	64%	0
	MAD Lions	36%	1

3:17:23 AM

	G2 Esports	57%	1
	MAD Lions	43%	0

4:02:16 AM

	G2 Esports	62%	0
	MAD Lions	38%	1

4:55:29 AM

	MAD Lions	45%	0
	G2 Esports	55%	1

6:31:57 AM

	G2 Esports	60%	0
	MAD Lions	40%	1

Saturday, March 28, 2020

2:25:45 AM

	SK Gaming	36%	1
	Excel Esports	64%	0

3:17:19 AM

	Rogue	60%	0
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	40%	1

4:16:26 AM

	Origen	61%	0
	MAD Lions	39%	1

5:12:06 AM

	Fnatic	87%	0
	Team Vitality	13%	1

6:10:03 AM

	G2 Esports	68%	1
	Misfits Gaming	32%	0

Friday, March 27, 2020

3:37:10 AM

	Rogue	76%	0
	SK Gaming	24%	1

4:18:13 AM

	Misfits Gaming	75%	1
	Team Vitality	25%	0

5:10:46 AM

	G2 Esports	76%	1
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	24%	0

6:20:10 AM

	Excel Esports	32%	0
	Origen	68%	1

7:14:43 AM

	Fnatic	59%	1
	MAD Lions	41%	0

Saturday, March 21, 2020

2:17:54 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	63%	1
	Team Vitality	37%	0

3:10:19 AM

	SK Gaming	18%	0
	Origen	82%	1

3:54:56 AM

	Misfits Gaming	49%	0
	MAD Lions	51%	1

4:47:55 AM

	G2 Esports	70%	1
	Excel Esports	30%	0

5:59:06 AM

	Fnatic	58%	1
	Rogue	42%	0

Friday, March 20, 2020

3:20:07 AM

	MAD Lions	74%	1
	SK Gaming	26%	0

4:28:42 AM

	Misfits Gaming	72%	0
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	28%	1

5:35:16 AM

	Excel Esports	38%	0
	Fnatic	62%	1

7:57:05 AM

	G2 Esports	57%	1
	Rogue	43%	0

9:23:40 AM

	Origen	81%	1
	Team Vitality	19%	0

Saturday, March 7, 2020

2:42:23 AM

	SK Gaming	48%	0
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	52%	1

3:43:39 AM

	Excel Esports	69%	1
	Team Vitality	31%	0

4:52:17 AM

	Rogue	50%	1
	MAD Lions	50%	0

5:45:22 AM

	Origen	49%	1
	Misfits Gaming	51%	0

6:46:50 AM

	Fnatic	52%	0
	G2 Esports	48%	1

Friday, March 6, 2020

3:40:49 AM

	Team Vitality	27%	0
	Rogue	73%	1

4:44:22 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	31%	0
	MAD Lions	69%	1

6:00:31 AM

	SK Gaming	21%	0
	Fnatic	79%	1

7:01:01 AM

	Excel Esports	42%	0
	Misfits Gaming	58%	1

7:53:19 AM

	Origen	53%	0
	G2 Esports	47%	1

Saturday, February 29, 2020

2:16:59 AM

	SK Gaming	27%	0
	Misfits Gaming	73%	1

3:44:10 AM

	MAD Lions	61%	0
	Excel Esports	39%	1

4:33:17 AM

	Fnatic	75%	1
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	25%	0

5:31:25 AM

	Rogue	47%	0
	Origen	53%	1

6:29:32 AM

	G2 Esports	75%	1
	Team Vitality	25%	0

Friday, February 28, 2020

3:16:15 AM

	Rogue	55%	1
	Excel Esports	45%	0

4:43:03 AM

	Team Vitality	28%	0
	MAD Lions	72%	1

5:38:42 AM

	Misfits Gaming	50%	0
	Fnatic	50%	1

6:35:27 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	30%	0
	Origen	70%	1

7:45:58 AM

	G2 Esports	71%	1
	SK Gaming	29%	0

Saturday, February 22, 2020

2:33:04 AM

	Team Vitality	42%	1
	SK Gaming	58%	0

3:48:53 AM

	Excel Esports	57%	1
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	43%	0

4:59:02 AM

	Rogue	38%	1
	Misfits Gaming	62%	0

5:58:11 AM

	MAD Lions	42%	1
	G2 Esports	58%	0

6:55:22 AM

	Origen	55%	0
	Fnatic	45%	1

Friday, February 21, 2020

3:34:16 AM

	MAD Lions	44%	0
	Misfits Gaming	56%	1

4:40:16 AM

	Team Vitality	45%	0
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	55%	1

5:37:24 AM

	G2 Esports	59%	1
	Excel Esports	41%	0

6:31:18 AM

	Origen	69%	1
	SK Gaming	31%	0

7:33:26 AM

	Rogue	50%	0
	Fnatic	50%	1

Saturday, February 15, 2020

2:45:27 AM

	Team Vitality	26%	0
	Misfits Gaming	74%	1

3:48:38 AM

	Rogue	60%	1
	SK Gaming	40%	0

4:38:52 AM

	G2 Esports	77%	0
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	23%	1

5:47:34 AM

	Origen	55%	1
	Excel Esports	45%	0

6:47:59 AM

	Fnatic	55%	0
	MAD Lions	45%	1

Friday, February 14, 2020

3:19:08 AM

	Origen	49%	1
	MAD Lions	51%	0

5:07:17 AM

	Excel Esports	55%	1
	SK Gaming	45%	0

5:47:48 AM

	Team Vitality	31%	0
	Fnatic	69%	1

6:42:42 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	35%	0
	Rogue	65%	1

7:38:50 AM

	G2 Esports	60%	0
	Misfits Gaming	40%	1

Saturday, February 8, 2020

2:44:52 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	45%	0
	SK Gaming	55%	1

3:40:29 AM

	Excel Esports	59%	1
	Team Vitality	41%	0

4:40:34 AM

	Rogue	50%	0
	MAD Lions	50%	1

5:44:14 AM

	Misfits Gaming	45%	1
	Origen	55%	0

6:48:41 AM

	G2 Esports	56%	1
	Fnatic	44%	0

Friday, February 7, 2020

3:23:03 AM

	MAD Lions	55%	1
	SK Gaming	45%	0

4:40:02 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	39%	0
	Misfits Gaming	61%	1

5:32:17 AM

	Fnatic	55%	1
	Excel Esports	45%	0

6:26:31 AM

	Team Vitality	35%	0
	Origen	65%	1

7:29:48 AM

	Rogue	44%	0
	G2 Esports	56%	1

Saturday, February 1, 2020

2:26:21 AM

	Excel Esports	55%	0
	Misfits Gaming	45%	1

3:48:52 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	45%	0
	MAD Lions	55%	1

4:56:45 AM

	Rogue	61%	1
	Team Vitality	39%	0

5:51:43 AM

	SK Gaming	44%	0
	Fnatic	56%	1

6:44:58 AM

	G2 Esports	50%	1
	Origen	50%	0

Friday, January 31, 2020

3:33:10 AM

	Origen	50%	1
	Rogue	50%	0

4:43:47 AM

	SK Gaming	56%	0
	Misfits Gaming	44%	1

5:44:20 AM

	Team Vitality	39%	0
	G2 Esports	61%	1

6:33:05 AM

	Excel Esports	50%	1
	MAD Lions	50%	0

8:08:25 AM

	FC Schalke 04 Esports	45%	0
	Fnatic	55%	1

Saturday, January 25, 2020

2:22:28 AM

	Team Vitality	50%	0
	MAD Lions	50%	1

3:43:20 AM

	Excel Esports	50%	0
	Rogue	50%	1

4:38:17 AM

	Origen	56%	1
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	44%	0

5:41:24 AM

	Fnatic	50%	1
	Misfits Gaming	50%	0

6:26:39 AM

	SK Gaming	50%	0
	G2 Esports	50%	1

Friday, January 24, 2020

3:17:25 AM

	G2 Esports	50%	1
	MAD Lions	50%	0

4:40:56 AM

	SK Gaming	50%	1
	Team Vitality	50%	0

6:00:32 AM

	Rogue	50%	1
	Misfits Gaming	50%	0

7:11:47 AM

	Excel Esports	50%	1
	FC Schalke 04 Esports	50%	0

8:18:04 AM

	Fnatic	50%	0
	Origen	50%	1